This week was all about saves for me on RotoGraphs. First, I tried to see if bad teams have as many saves as good teams — and they do, sorta. Then, I refined it to see if good teams create more save opportunities than bad teams, and they do, but team winning percentage only accounts for about 8% of the variance in saves. I also looked at lefty closers — and they are rarer than righty closers. Last, I tried to refine the team save opps numbers — but most of the stuff didn’t work. The only things that predicted saves at all was the quality of the bullpen and the team offense (strangely). More work on the way. (I summed this all up and added more saves research for Getting Blanked today if you prefer the crib notes.)
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