Finally a full week of writing. Felt productive, if exhausting. And this weekend it’s off to Los Angeles to interview star knuckleballer R.A. Dickey. This should be fun, except for all that driving to LA business.
This week in real baseball, I dusted off my scout’s eyeballs and tried to see if once-Red-Sox once-Padres now-Cubs prospect Anthony Rizzo has indeed made sustainable changes to his swing. This semi-trained eye thinks that it’s possible, he definitely looks shorter to the ball. Some in comments brought up his hips, but I’ll have to find better video to figure that out. I also wondered out loud what happened to Ricky Romero. After a breakout season, the Blue Jays erstwhile ace isn’t having a great year, and it’s a confluence of things, including overwrought expectations.
Today I published something that might work towards an ‘expected walk rate.’ We have few peripherals when it comes to pitcher control — zone percentage and first strike percentage in particular — but if we use them right, we might be able to find an expected walk rate. Later in the day, I made that work fantasy-relevant and pointed out a couple of buy-lows based on their control peripherals.
My two fantasy pieces so far this week could work as real pieces, and both were about context. If we really look at what Adam Lind and Jesus Montero have done, in the context of their peers and their own careers, we would happy with one and not happy with the other.